FeedsTwo Down. 48 To Go.
Damn. And I was hoping for that miracle Edwards rally.
As John Edwards said in his post-vote (NOT concession) speech, there are two states down and 48 to go in the Democratic primary. He plans to continue through till the convention because he wants everyone who hasn't had a voice yet in this primary process to have a say.
Damn straight. Can we get an "enough is enough" for this first-in-the-nation Iowa and New Hampshire BS?
Although I'm disappointed that Clinton won tonight, in the end there are many positive things to take away from the New Hampshire primary: high Democratic turnout; renewed excitement about a close race; and a discussion about why people should be nominee. After all, nothing should just be given; it has to be earned. Three viable candidates are out there, and each has a shot. Each should knuckle down and work their hardest to turn out the vote and convince us that their plans are best.
Except for poor Bill Richardson, who is sadly not viable. That guy has so much damn experience but can't seem to gain any traction! I sure hope the eventual nominee makes sure to get him deeply involved, because we need him-- especially as, say, Secretary of State?
On to Michigan, Nevada, and South Carolina. Eventually Oregon will get to vote. Until then, we watch, wait, and chomp at the bit.
PS: And can I have one final side-note? Is anyone else mystified by the polling in this state? Obama led by 6-10 points in many polls over the last few days, only to lose here in NH. So crazy and frustrating for outsiders watching.
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Comments from site editors have a darker background than comments from everybody else.Polls are fucking useless at predicting these things. Reuters/Zogby (okay, I know, zogby sucks, but still) were predicting a super tight Clinton/Obama race in Iowa. It's all messed up.
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In the future, I suggest we all divine the outcome using stones and chicken bones. Either that or a combination of palm reading and tarot.
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Polls are fucking useless at predicting these things.
Actually, polls are quite useful at predicting -- except when the race is so fluid that the night-before poll no longer reflects public opinion by the time that the voters fill out their ballots.
It's my surmise that the Hillary-breaks-down thing actually flipped this race. Her performance among women aged 40-55 was dramatically different than the polls showed, or she had in Iowa.
My guess is that those women saw the two men beating up on Hillary, heard that she was going to lose (and badly), and decided, "What the heck. If Obama is going to win anyway, I want to vote for the woman. Especially if those boys are going to be mean to her."
That could easily account for 2-2% of the swing. Another 1-2% could be the Bradley Effect.
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Perhaps I should have been more clear: the recent polls like this one have been fucking useless.
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I would like to go on record ad the first person to ever get news from Witigonen.
Here's to Edwards!
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Yay, I did something right!
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